Laroche Breakout

Brian: hard for laroche to break out at 33

Previous year was 6th in MVP voting, won a silver slugger and set career highs for HR, RBI. 3.4 WAR, previous career high was 2.2 in 2006.

knowbdy15:

Viciedo is going to hit 30 homers and have near 100 Rbi's this year

Revisit in December 2013...

brianichipike:

next year all pitchers are being kept
i cant see myself not freezing one of mine

THIRTEEN DOLLARS

Robert:

I hope I didn't spend too much for Teheran

NEVER trade $1 pitchers...

(10:28 AM, 2/27/2013)
brianichipike: And you never trade a $1 pitcher

...

LEAGUE TRANSACTION HISTORY:

1/15/13 10:46 PM ET
Peavy, Jake SP CHW  - Traded from Smokin' Aces ($1)
McCarthy, Brandon SP ARI  - Traded from Smokin' Aces ($2)

$60 pitchers

Jonathan Geyer

1:27

can't believe i turned wei-yin into him

1:27

Brian Phillips

1:27

as long as you lose more SP

1:27

thats fine by me

1:28

Jonathan Geyer

1:28

i'd keep burnett of wei-yin

1:28

*over

1:28

Brian Phillips

1:28

not me, dont get all fuji over those $1 players

1:28

Jonathan Geyer

1:28

well wei-yin is subject to the 2nd year slump too, and he should be redraftable for less than $10

1:29

Brian Phillips

1:29

burnett is still the 5.16 and 5.27 ERA pitcher from 2010-11

1:29

hes in the easier division, but i doubt he gets 12 wins this year on the pirates

1:29

Jonathan Geyer

1:29

well he's in the NL now so if he's a 4.1 era pitcher

1:29

he's worth $6

1:30

when 100 pitchers are drafted in our league, he's worth it

1:30

he's not worth more

1:30

Brian Phillips

1:30

and hes 36

1:30

Jonathan Geyer

1:30

but he's worth it

1:30

Brian Phillips

1:30

i dont want anyone on my team over 32

1:30

Jonathan Geyer

1:30

on the flip side, i dont' have to use all 10 slots

1:31

no one likes burnett so i can prob get him for $2 or $3

1:31

Brian Phillips

1:31

if your pitching is Kershaw…. Harrison, Anderson, Burnett. im fine with that

1:31

Jonathan Geyer

1:31

redraft hamels

1:31

Brian Phillips

1:31

i dont think you will

1:32

cause i think these new managers are going to overspend on the aces

1:32

like $50

1:32

Jonathan Geyer

1:32

i've got a full offense, so what else would i spend the $ on

1:32

Brian Phillips

1:32

and then be like shit. i dont have money for the rest of my team

1:32

after i throw out CC and Hamels, whats left over?

1:32

you're too smart to get in a bidder war with a rookie manager for an Ace pitcher

1:32

Jonathan Geyer

1:32

halladay hamels lince

1:33

well i've been willing to keep hamels this whole time for $44

1:33

Brian Phillips

1:33

whos the surest thing of those 3

1:33

Jonathan Geyer

1:33

so if they want to go to $50 then thats the risk i take

1:33

Brian Phillips

1:33

you know hamels will go for $50

1:33

dan was the guy who spent $65 on Arian foster in fantasy football, when the second highest RB was $41

1:33

Jonathan Geyer

1:33

halladay was kept for 48

1:34

hamels went for 39, cc 38 and lince 37 last year

1:34

haren 36

1:34

Brian Phillips

1:34

Halladay and Lincecum will go for $35-40

1:34

you can have either of those two

1:34

but CC and Hamels will go for at least $50

1:34

and i know you dont want either of them vs hamels

1:34

Jonathan Geyer

1:34

why is there a $10 increase y/y

1:35

Brian Phillips

1:35

new managers man

1:35

if my team has no SP

1:35

im going to get a hamels

1:35

Jonathan Geyer

1:35

according to my notes, lince went for 48

1:35

no other pitcher has ever gone for more than 39 in the draft

1:35

Brian Phillips

1:35

watch

1:35

Dan will do it easy

1:35

he will probably do it twice

1:35

get both Hamels and CC for $105

1:35

and then spend $1 on everyone else

1:35

Jonathan Geyer

1:35

i dont think brad is letting cc go anymore

1:36

Brian Phillips

1:36

even more reason for hamels to go for $50 +

1:37

Jonathan Geyer

1:37

logically yea

1:37

Brian Phillips

1:37

brad better let CC go

1:37

or i have to change my team name

1:37

Jonathan Geyer

1:37

but if dan goes that high its partially because you prepped him and overvalued pitching then

1:38

Brian Phillips

1:38

better to overvalue hamels than pujols

1:38

especially since he has 1 SP anyways

1:38

and all the other managers have 3-5

1:40

Jonathan Geyer

1:40

so you're telling me that hamels has $6 of value

1:40

Brian Phillips

1:40

if not more

1:40

I promise you will not re-draft Hamels

1:40

no way

1:40

unless you're willing to go $60

1:40

which i dont think you ar

1:40

Jonathan Geyer

1:40

then why have you been saying i shouldn't keep him

1:40

now it's 60??

1:41

Brian Phillips

1:41

if dan wants someone

1:41

he will get him

1:41

no matter what the opportunity cost

1:41

he doesnt let go of someone he wants

1:41

obviously he will only be able to do this 1 or 2 times

Kilahue Revisionist History

brianichipike:

blanco is hitting for average
belt sucks too, but always gets the rbi when it matters
even when he goes 0-20 with bases empty

Brad:

hahah belt doesnt suck man
cmon

brianichipike:

belt sucks
not a single non giants fan would say belt is good

Brad:

youre out of your mind

brianichipike:

.235, 0 hrs, 7rbi
stud for sure

Brad:

he's 23rd ranked baseball america

brianichipike:

you act like lahair isnt going enough to clean belts shoes

Brad:

i dont think baseball america is composed of all giants fans

brianichipike:

not you
but giants fans
and their announcers

Brad:

.343 minor league hitter
how can you say he's not good
he's got 2 years of pro experience

brianichipike:

kila ka'aihue was a .300+ minor leagu hitter too

Brad:

is he going to be an all-star? probably not
but to say he sucks is totally unfair

brianichipike:

um, all giants fans/announcers seem to expect a .315 30 100 season from him next year
it would be lucky to hit .280 15 70

brianichipike:

A+ BABIP was .440, AA BABIP .379, AAA BABIP .39
major leagues BABIP.273, AVG .225
this year BABIP .333 AVG .239
he was a babip anomaly
LD 12%
which is extremely low

Brad:

so you were saying baseball america, the most esteemed evaluators of talent in the market, were wrong because they didn't evaluate the most common secondary stat?

brianichipike:

yes
i am actually